Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marlon Vera (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marlon VeraL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25L
vs David Martinez · Feb 26 Davey Grant
oldest →L
vs Daniel Marcos · Jul 23W
vs Ramon Taveras · Dec 24W
vs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 25L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Oct 25W
DECvs Adrian Luna Martinetti · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marlon VeraMetricDavey Grant
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.16Δ 2.70 — meaningful gap+1.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marlon VeraDavey Grant
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marlon Vera(10 fights)Davey Grant(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -46.0|Blue +46.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marlon VeraTargetDavey Grant
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Davey Grant edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns1
Control0:27
41Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Marlon Vera edged it
Sig. strikes43
Takedowns0
Control1:00
31Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:54Control
Round 3Marlon Vera edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns1
Control3:48
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
