Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felipe Arantes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Felipe Arantes has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Godofredo PepeyL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Andre Fili · Mar 15L
vs Darren Elkins · Jul 16W
SUBvs Mike de la Torre · Sep 16L
vs Shane Burgos · Jul 17L
KOvs Mirsad Bektic · Jan 18 Felipe ArantesL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Yves Jabouin · Aug 15W
SUBvs Jerrod Sanders · Jul 16L
KOvs Song Yadong · Jun 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Godofredo PepeyMetricFelipe Arantes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.91evenly matched on net striking-0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Godofredo PepeyFelipe Arantes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Godofredo Pepey(10 fights)Felipe Arantes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.3|Blue +2.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -371.0|Blue +371.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Godofredo PepeyTargetFelipe Arantes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Felipe Arantes edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control1:01
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:11Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
