Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake Matthews
oldest →W
vs Francisco Prado · Feb 25W
SUBvs Chidi Njokuani · Jul 25L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Sep 25W
DECvs Carlston Harris · May 26 Li JingliangL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jan 21L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 21W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 22L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Sep 22L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake MatthewsMetricLi Jingliang
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.72evenly matched on net striking+0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jake MatthewsLi Jingliang
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Matthews(10 fights)Li Jingliang(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +27.5|Blue -27.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jake MatthewsTargetLi Jingliang
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jake Matthews edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control2:07
Knockdowns1
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Li Jingliang edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:09
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:27Control
Round 3Jake Matthews edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns2
Control1:09
Knockdowns1
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:45Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
