Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sean O'Connell enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Sean O'Connell is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Matt Van Buren has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Matt Van Buren has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt Van Buren
oldest →L
KOvs Corey Anderson · Jul 14 Sean O'ConnellL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Gian Villante · Jun 14W
KOvs Anthony Perosh · May 15L
KOvs Ilir Latifi · Jan 16L
KOvs Corey Anderson · Dec 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt Van BurenMetricSean O'Connell
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.91Δ 2.22 — meaningful gap-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matt Van BurenSean O'Connell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Van Buren(2 fights)Sean O'Connell(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -4.5|Blue +4.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -8.0|Blue +8.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Matt Van BurenTargetSean O'Connell
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Matt Van Buren edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:12
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:29Control
Round 2Matt Van Buren edged it
Sig. strikes47
Takedowns0
Control0:15
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:48Control
Round 3Sean O'Connell edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
