Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ode Osbourne has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ode Osbourne (53.5%).
- Ode Osbourne has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jafel Filho
oldest →L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Mar 23W
SUBvs Daniel Barez · Jul 23L
vs Allan Nascimento · May 25W
SUBvs Clayton Carpenter · Oct 25L
DECvs Cody Durden · Apr 26 Ode OsbourneL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Asu Almabayev · Aug 23L
vs Ronaldo Rodriguez · Sep 24W
KOvs Luis Gurule · Apr 25L
vs Alibi Idiris · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jafel FilhoMetricOde Osbourne
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.02evenly matched on net striking-0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jafel FilhoOde Osbourne
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jafel Filho(6 fights)Ode Osbourne(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +23.9|Blue -23.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jafel FilhoTargetOde Osbourne
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jafel Filho edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control3:21
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
