Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Johnson has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michael Johnson (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego FerreiraL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · May 21L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Dec 21W
KOvs Mateusz Rebecki · May 24L
vs Grant Dawson · Jan 25L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Sep 25 Michael Johnson
oldest →W
vs Marc Diakiese · Dec 22W
vs Darrius Flowers · Feb 24W
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Dec 24W
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Jul 25L
KOvs Drew Dober · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego FerreiraMetricMichael Johnson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.24evenly matched on net striking+0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Diego FerreiraMichael Johnson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Ferreira(10 fights)Michael Johnson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -13.7|Blue +13.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +350.0|Blue -350.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Diego FerreiraTargetMichael Johnson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Michael Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Diego Ferreira edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
