Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raul Rosas Jr. enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Aoriqileng has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Raul Rosas Jr. (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raul Rosas Jr.W4 streak
oldest →L
vs Christian Rodriguez · Apr 23W
KOvs Terrence Mitchell · Sep 23W
SUBvs Ricky Turcios · Jun 24W
vs Vince Morales · Mar 25 Aoriqileng
oldest →L
KOvs Aiemann Zahabi · Jun 23W
vs Johnny Munoz · Oct 23W
KOvs Cody Gibson · Oct 25L
KOvs Cody Haddon · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raul Rosas Jr.MetricAoriqileng
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.10evenly matched on net striking-0.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Raul Rosas Jr.Aoriqileng
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raul Rosas Jr.(7 fights)Aoriqileng(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +53.5|Blue -53.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -245.0|Blue +245.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Raul Rosas Jr.TargetAoriqileng
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Raul Rosas Jr. edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control3:13
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Raul Rosas Jr. edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns2
Control4:19
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
