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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Vinicius Oliveira won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1538

Elo1479

Vinicius OliveiravsAndre FiliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · Saturday, June 20, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Vinicius Oliveira won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:56

Style matchupVinicius Oliveira: Elusive strikervsAndre Fili: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Vinicius Oliveira wins(73.2%)

Actual result: Vinicius Oliveira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andre Fili has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Vinicius Oliveira

Red Corner

Andre Fili

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1538

Elo

1479

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'11"

177.8 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Vinicius Oliveira

oldest →

KOvs Benardo Sopaj · Mar 24

vs Ricky Simon · Jun 24

vs Said Nurmagomedov · Feb 25

vs Kyler Phillips · Jul 25

SUBvs Mario Bautista · Feb 26

latest

Andre Fili

oldest →

KOvs Dan Ige · Feb 24

vs Cub Swanson · Jun 24

SUBvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 25

vs Christian Rodriguez · Aug 25

vs Jose Delgado · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Vinicius OliveiraMetricAndre Fili

4.73

Strikes / min

3.88

2.70

Strikes absorbed / min

4.34

57%

Strike defense

50%

1.45

TDs / 15 min

2.32

70%

Takedown defense

71%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.03Δ 2.49 — meaningful gap-0.46

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Vinicius Oliveira(6 fights)Andre Fili(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +59.2|Blue -59.2

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -98.0|Blue +98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Vinicius OliveiraTargetAndre Fili

By target zone

52% acc · 45%

Head

30% acc · 78%

90% acc · 27%

Body

100% acc · 23%

97% acc · 29%

Leg

By position

66% acc · 85%

Distance

35% acc · 95%

83% acc · 10%

Clinch

67% acc · 5%

100% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Vinicius Oliveira rounds

even

Andre Fili rounds

Round 1Vinicius Oliveira edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:15

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Vinicius Oliveira edged it

Sig. strikes78

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

105 / 152

Sig Strikes

40 / 113

66.5%

Sig Str %

35.5%

105 / 152

Total Strikes

40 / 113

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:17

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Andre Fili	22 / 53	22 / 53	0 / 0
1	Vinicius Oliveira	27 / 43	27 / 43	0 / 1
2	Andre Fili	18 / 60	18 / 60	0 / 1
2	Vinicius Oliveira	78 / 109	78 / 109	0 / 0

Vinicius Oliveira

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7

Andre Fili

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights26