Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jarno Errens enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Steven Nguyen has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Steven Nguyen (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jarno ErrensL3 streak
oldest →L
vs William Gomis · Sep 22L
vs SeungWoo Choi · Aug 23L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Aug 24 Steven Nguyen
oldest →W
KOvs Mohammad Yahya · Jul 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jarno ErrensMetricSteven Nguyen
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)0.00evenly matched on net striking+0.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jarno ErrensSteven Nguyen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jarno Errens(4 fights)Steven Nguyen(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -16.7|Blue +16.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jarno ErrensTargetSteven Nguyen
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jarno Errens edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 2Jarno Errens edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Jarno Errens edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:12
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
