Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marlon Vera (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad PickettL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Thomas Almeida · Jul 15W
vs Francisco Rivera · Feb 16L
SUBvs Iuri Alcantara · Oct 16L
vs Urijah Faber · Dec 16 Marlon VeraL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25L
vs David Martinez · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad PickettMetricMarlon Vera
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.61evenly matched on net striking-1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brad PickettMarlon Vera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Pickett(10 fights)Marlon Vera(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -114.9|Blue +114.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brad PickettTargetMarlon Vera
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Marlon Vera edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control0:52
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 2Brad Pickett edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control2:40
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Marlon Vera edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
