Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Miranda Maverick won · U-DEC R3

Elo1513

Miranda MaverickvsJamey-Lyn HorthUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · Saturday, December 14, 2024Tampa, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Miranda Maverick won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMiranda Maverick: WrestlervsJamey-Lyn Horth: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Miranda Maverick wins(68.0%)

Actual result: Miranda Maverick wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Miranda Maverick at -625 American odds

+$16 profit

$116 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jamey-Lyn Horth has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Miranda Maverick (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Miranda Maverick

Red Corner

Jamey-Lyn Horth

Blue Corner

-625

(86%)

Vegas Odds

+455

(18%)

1513

Elo

1513

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'7"

165.1 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Miranda Maverick

oldest →

vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Jun 23

SUBvs Priscila Cachoeira · Jul 23

vs Andrea Lee · Feb 24

vs Dione Barbosa · Jul 24

vs Rose Namajunas · Jun 25

latest

Jamey-Lyn Horth

oldest →

vs Veronica Hardy · Dec 23

vs Ivana Petrovic · Nov 24

vs Vanessa Demopoulos · Jun 25

KOvs Tereza Bleda · Dec 25

DECvs JJ Aldrich · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Miranda MaverickMetricJamey-Lyn Horth

3.22

Strikes / min

3.80

2.25

Strikes absorbed / min

2.64

61%

Strike defense

63%

2.16

TDs / 15 min

0.98

45%

Takedown defense

80%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.97evenly matched on net striking+1.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Miranda MaverickJamey-Lyn Horth

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Miranda Maverick(10 fights)Jamey-Lyn Horth(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +105.0|Blue -105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Miranda MaverickTargetJamey-Lyn Horth

By target zone

24% acc · 50%

Head

24% acc · 73%

83% acc · 21%

Body

38% acc · 20%

58% acc · 29%

Leg

50% acc · 7%

By position

35% acc · 96%

Distance

26% acc · 93%

50% acc · 4%

Clinch

100% acc · 7%

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Miranda Maverick rounds

even

Jamey-Lyn Horth rounds

Round 1Miranda Maverick edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control2:49

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:20Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control1:37

2Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:54Control

Round 3Miranda Maverick edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control2:24

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 68

Sig Strikes

15 / 55

46.7%

Sig Str %

33%

61 / 117

Total Strikes

63 / 111

2 / 9

TDs

1 / 3

50%

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

6:50

Ctrl Time

3:18

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jamey-Lyn Horth	4 / 19	21 / 37	0 / 0	0
1	Miranda Maverick	8 / 24	20 / 37	0 / 6	0
2	Jamey-Lyn Horth	2 / 4	22 / 27	1 / 3	1
2	Miranda Maverick	3 / 4	15 / 17	1 / 2	0
3	Jamey-Lyn Horth	9 / 32	20 / 47	0 / 0	0
3	Miranda Maverick	13 / 40	26 / 63	1 / 1	0

Miranda Maverick

StanceSouthpaw

Height63.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights13

Jamey-Lyn Horth

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights6