Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Kyle Daukaus has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kyle Daukaus (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brendan AllenW3 streak
oldest →L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 24L
vs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 25W
vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 25W
KOvs Reinier de Ridder · Oct 25W
DECvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jun 26 Kyle Daukaus
oldest →L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Jun 22L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 22W
KOvs Michel Pereira · Aug 25W
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Nov 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brendan AllenMetricKyle Daukaus
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.03evenly matched on net striking+0.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brendan AllenKyle Daukaus
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brendan Allen(10 fights)Kyle Daukaus(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +48.6|Blue -48.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -48.3|Blue +48.3
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brendan AllenTargetKyle Daukaus
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brendan Allen edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control2:32
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:54Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Kyle Daukaus edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control2:42
22Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:28Control
Round 3Kyle Daukaus edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:23
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:22Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
