Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charles Johnson has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Charles Johnson (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charles Johnson
oldest →L
vs Ramazan Temirov · Mar 25W
KOvs Lone'er Kavanagh · Aug 25L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jan 26L
SUBvs Asu Almabayev · Jun 26 Jake Hadley
oldest →W
SUBvs Carlos Candelario · Nov 22W
KOvs Malcolm Gordon · Mar 23W
vs Caolan Loughran · Jul 24L
vs Cameron Smotherman · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charles JohnsonMetricJake Hadley
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.75Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap-0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Charles JohnsonJake Hadley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charles Johnson(10 fights)Jake Hadley(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +10.7|Blue -10.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -182.0|Blue +182.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Charles JohnsonTargetJake Hadley
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:35Control
Round 2Charles Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control0:19
Knockdowns1
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:27Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Charles Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:10Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
