Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kayla Harrison has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kayla Harrison has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Holly Holm
oldest →L
KOvs Amanda Nunes · Jul 19W
vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 20W
vs Irene Aldana · Oct 20L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 22 Kayla HarrisonW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Ketlen Vieira · Oct 24W
SUBvs Julianna Pena · Jun 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Holly HolmMetricKayla Harrison
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.21Δ 2.98 — meaningful gap+3.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Holly HolmKayla Harrison
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Holly Holm(10 fights)Kayla Harrison(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -29.8|Blue +29.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.1|Blue +48.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Holly HolmTargetKayla Harrison
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kayla Harrison edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:15
46Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:49Control
Round 2Kayla Harrison edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
