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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
William Knight won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1451
Elo1417
Fabio Cherant

William KnightvsFabio CherantUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · Saturday, August 21, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

William Knight won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:58

Model Prediction: William Knight wins(72.7%)

Actual result: William Knight wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

William Knight at -170 American odds

+$59 profit

$159 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • William Knight enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • William Knight has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Fabio Cherant (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

William Knight
Red Corner
VS
Fabio Cherant
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
1451
Elo
1417
38
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

William KnightL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Da-Un Jung · Apr 21
W
vs Alonzo Menifield · Dec 21
L
vs Maxim Grishin · Feb 22
L
KOvs Devin Clark · Apr 22
L
vs Marcin Prachnio · Feb 23
latest
Fabio CherantL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Alonzo Menifield · Mar 21
L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Feb 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

William KnightMetricFabio Cherant
2.62
Strikes / min
1.35
3.30
Strikes absorbed / min
4.89
35%
Strike defense
38%
1.78
TDs / 15 min
0.00
48%
Takedown defense
0%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.68Δ 2.86 — meaningful gap-3.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1484Strikes3.5 vs 2.0Takedowns2.4 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.30 vs 0.00Form-0.3 vs -1.0
William KnightFabio Cherant

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
William Knight(7 fights)Fabio Cherant(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +34.4|Blue -34.4
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

William KnightTargetFabio Cherant

By target zone

5
38% acc · 36%
Head
3
27% acc · 20%
1
100% acc · 7%
Body
10
100% acc · 67%
8
80% acc · 57%
Leg
2
100% acc · 13%

By position

11
52% acc · 79%
Distance
15
65% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
3
100% acc · 21%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
William Knight rounds
0
even
0
Fabio Cherant rounds
Round 1William Knight edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
14 / 24
Sig Strikes
15 / 23
58%
Sig Str %
65%
14 / 24
Total Strikes
15 / 23
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:02
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Fabio Cherant15 / 2315 / 230 / 00
1William Knight14 / 2414 / 240 / 00

William Knight

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7

Fabio Cherant

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3