Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Robbie Lawler has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Johny HendricksL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jul 16W
vs Hector Lombard · Feb 17L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 17L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Nov 17 Robbie Lawler
oldest →L
vs Colby Covington · Aug 19L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Aug 20L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Jul 22W
KOvs Niko Price · Jul 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Johny HendricksMetricRobbie Lawler
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.50evenly matched on net striking-0.82
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Johny HendricksRobbie Lawler
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Johny Hendricks(10 fights)Robbie Lawler(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -136.6|Blue +136.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +133.0|Blue -133.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Johny HendricksTargetRobbie Lawler
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Robbie Lawler edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control3:16
34Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Johny Hendricks edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns1
Control1:57
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Johny Hendricks edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns2
Control1:30
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Johny Hendricks edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control1:43
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control
Round 5Robbie Lawler edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control1:55
42Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:45Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
