Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Perez has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Eric Shelton
oldest →L
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Jan 17L
vs Jarred Brooks · Jul 17W
vs Joseph Morales · Nov 18L
vs Jordan Espinosa · Mar 19 Alex Perez
oldest →W
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Apr 24L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Jun 24L
SUBvs Asu Almabayev · Nov 25W
KOvs Charles Johnson · Jan 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Eric SheltonMetricAlex Perez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.69evenly matched on net striking+1.21
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Eric SheltonAlex Perez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Eric Shelton(6 fights)Alex Perez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -6.9|Blue +6.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Eric SheltonTargetAlex Perez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:31Control
Round 2Alex Perez edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:02
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:23Control
Round 3Alex Perez edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
