Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gavin Tucker threatens submissions; Sam Sicilia has lost 43% of fights by sub.
- Sam Sicilia has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gavin Tucker (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sam SiciliaL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Katsunori Kikuno · Sep 14W
KOvs Akira Corassani · Jan 15W
vs Yaotzin Meza · Jul 15L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Nov 15L
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Sep 16 Gavin TuckerL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Seungwoo Choi · Jul 19W
SUBvs Justin Jaynes · Aug 20W
vs Billy Quarantillo · Dec 20L
SUBvs Diego Lopes · Aug 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sam SiciliaMetricGavin Tucker
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.09Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap+0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sam SiciliaGavin Tucker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sam Sicilia(10 fights)Gavin Tucker(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -112.9|Blue +112.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.3|Blue +48.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sam SiciliaTargetGavin Tucker
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Gavin Tucker edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Gavin Tucker edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Gavin Tucker edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:26
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:15Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
