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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Alessio Di Chirico won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1434
Alessio Di Chirico
Elo1363

Alessio Di ChiricovsOluwale BamgboseUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · Saturday, December 16, 2017Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada

Official fight result

Alessio Di Chirico won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:14

Model Prediction: Alessio Di Chirico wins(59.8%)

Actual result: Alessio Di Chirico wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alessio Di Chirico at -160 American odds

+$63 profit

$163 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Alessio Di Chirico is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Oluwale Bamgbose has lost 75% of fights by KO.
  • Alessio Di Chirico has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Oluwale Bamgbose (52.9%).
  • Oluwale Bamgbose has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Alessio Di Chirico
Red Corner
VS
Oluwale Bamgbose
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
1434
Elo
1363
36
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'0"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alessio Di ChiricoL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Makhmud Muradov · Sep 19
L
vs Zak Cummings · Aug 20
W
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Jan 21
L
KOvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Aug 21
L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Sep 22
latest
Oluwale BamgboseL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Aug 15
W
KOvs Daniel Sarafian · Feb 16
L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Apr 16
L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Jun 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alessio Di ChiricoMetricOluwale Bamgbose
3.32
Strikes / min
2.45
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
2.70
61%
Strike defense
55%
1.46
TDs / 15 min
0.94
83%
Takedown defense
37%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.25

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1482 vs 1466Strikes42.3 vs 17.0Takedowns1.3 vs 0.5Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.4 vs -0.7
Alessio Di ChiricoOluwale Bamgbose

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Alessio Di Chirico(10 fights)Oluwale Bamgbose(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +71.3|Blue -71.3
Recent Form
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score
Red +2.1|Blue -2.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +126.0|Blue -126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alessio Di ChiricoTargetOluwale Bamgbose

By target zone

4
13% acc · 67%
Head
5
45% acc · 50%
1
25% acc · 17%
Body
1
50% acc · 10%
1
33% acc · 17%
Leg
4
100% acc · 40%

By position

3
9% acc · 50%
Distance
9
56% acc · 90%
3
60% acc · 50%
Clinch
1
100% acc · 10%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Alessio Di Chirico rounds
0
even
0
Oluwale Bamgbose rounds
Round 1Alessio Di Chirico edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Alessio Di Chirico edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
6 / 37
Sig Strikes
10 / 17
17%
Sig Str %
59.5%
6 / 37
Total Strikes
10 / 19
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 1
100%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:02
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Oluwale Bamgbose4 / 94 / 90 / 10
1Alessio Di Chirico3 / 233 / 231 / 10
2Oluwale Bamgbose6 / 86 / 100 / 00
2Alessio Di Chirico3 / 143 / 140 / 00

Alessio Di Chirico

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights11

Oluwale Bamgbose

StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights5