Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alex Caceres (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex CaceresL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23L
vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23L
vs Sean Woodson · May 24 Steven PetersonL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Martin Bravo · Sep 19W
vs Chase Hooper · Jun 21L
vs Julian Erosa · Feb 22L
vs Lucas Alexander · Mar 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex CaceresMetricSteven Peterson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.12Δ 2.30 — meaningful gap-1.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alex CaceresSteven Peterson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Caceres(10 fights)Steven Peterson(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +44.3|Blue -44.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +34.0|Blue -34.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alex CaceresTargetSteven Peterson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Steven Peterson edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:37Control
Round 2Alex Caceres edged it
Sig. strikes43
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:02Control
