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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Azamat Murzakanov won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1536

Elo1525

Azamat MurzakanovvsAlonzo MenifieldUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Saturday, August 3, 2024Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Azamat Murzakanov won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:18

Style matchupAzamat Murzakanov: Well-roundedvsAlonzo Menifield: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Azamat Murzakanov wins(65.1%)

Actual result: Azamat Murzakanov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Azamat Murzakanov at -298 American odds

+$34 profit

$134 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Azamat Murzakanov is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Alonzo Menifield has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Azamat Murzakanov (53.5%).
Alonzo Menifield has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Azamat Murzakanov

Red Corner

Alonzo Menifield

Blue Corner

-298

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+240

(29%)

1536

Elo

1525

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'0"

180.34 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Azamat Murzakanov

oldest →

KOvs Devin Clark · Aug 22

vs Dustin Jacoby · Apr 23

KOvs Brendson Ribeiro · Jun 25

KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Oct 25

KOvs Paulo Costa · Apr 26

latest

Alonzo Menifield

oldest →

KOvs Carlos Ulberg · May 24

vs Julius Walker · Feb 25

vs Oumar Sy · Jun 25

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 25

KOvs Zhang Mingyang · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Azamat MurzakanovMetricAlonzo Menifield

4.40

Strikes / min

3.77

3.20

Strikes absorbed / min

3.81

56%

Strike defense

50%

0.68

TDs / 15 min

0.50

88%

Takedown defense

78%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.20Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap-0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Azamat MurzakanovAlonzo Menifield

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Azamat Murzakanov(7 fights)Alonzo Menifield(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +10.3|Blue -10.3

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +392.0|Blue -392.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Azamat MurzakanovTargetAlonzo Menifield

By target zone

49% acc · 76%

Head

19% acc · 93%

69% acc · 24%

Body

100% acc · 7%

Leg

By position

52% acc · 96%

Distance

21% acc · 100%

0% acc

Clinch

0% acc

100% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Azamat Murzakanov rounds

even

Alonzo Menifield rounds

Round 1Azamat Murzakanov edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:36

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:12Control

Round 2Azamat Murzakanov edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:08

Knockdowns1

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:39Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

45 / 85

Sig Strikes

15 / 74

53%

Sig Str %

20.5%

48 / 88

Total Strikes

19 / 80

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:44

Ctrl Time

0:51

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Alonzo Menifield	8 / 32	10 / 35	0 / 0
1	Azamat Murzakanov	22 / 40	25 / 43	0 / 0
2	Alonzo Menifield	7 / 42	9 / 45	0 / 0
2	Azamat Murzakanov	23 / 45	23 / 45	0 / 1

Azamat Murzakanov

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6

Alonzo Menifield

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17