Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sergei Pavlovich enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sergei Pavlovich (53.5%).
- Sergei Pavlovich has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sergei PavlovichW3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Apr 23L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Nov 23W
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Feb 25W
vs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Aug 25W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · May 26 Alexander VolkovW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Alexandr Romanov · Mar 23W
SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 23W
vs Jailton Almeida · Oct 25W
DECvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sergei PavlovichMetricAlexander Volkov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.81Δ 1.13 — meaningful gap+1.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sergei PavlovichAlexander Volkov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sergei Pavlovich(10 fights)Alexander Volkov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.9|Blue -2.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -63.0|Blue +63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sergei PavlovichTargetAlexander Volkov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alexander Volkov edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Alexander Volkov edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Alexander Volkov edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:15
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
