Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Conor McGregor enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jose Aldo has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Conor McGregor (53.5%).
- Conor McGregor has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jose AldoL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 22W
vs Jonathan Martinez · May 24L
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · May 25 Conor McGregorL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Oct 18W
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jan 20L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Jan 21L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Jul 21L
KOvs Max Holloway · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jose AldoMetricConor McGregor
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.16evenly matched on net striking+0.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jose AldoConor McGregor
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jose Aldo(10 fights)Conor McGregor(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +19.2|Blue -19.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +259.0|Blue -259.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jose AldoTargetConor McGregor
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Conor McGregor edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
