Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dong Hyun Kim enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dong Hyun Kim (53.5%).
- Dong Hyun Kim has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dong Hyun KimW3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs John Hathaway · Mar 14L
KOvs Tyron Woodley · Aug 14W
SUBvs Joshua Burkman · May 15W
KOvs Dominic Waters · Nov 15W
vs Tarec Saffiedine · Dec 16 Colby CovingtonL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Tyron Woodley · Sep 20L
vs Kamaru Usman · Nov 21W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Mar 22L
vs Leon Edwards · Dec 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Dec 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dong Hyun KimMetricColby Covington
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.23evenly matched on net striking+0.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dong Hyun KimColby Covington
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dong Hyun Kim(10 fights)Colby Covington(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -13.0|Blue +13.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dong Hyun KimTargetColby Covington
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Colby Covington edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:02
10Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
4:16Control
Round 2Colby Covington edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control0:37
18Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:16Control
Round 3Colby Covington edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control0:29
19Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:37Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
