Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Travis Browne enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Travis Browne is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Brendan Schaub has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Brendan Schaub is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Travis Browne has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Brendan Schaub has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Travis BrowneL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Jan 16L
KOvs Cain Velasquez · Jul 16L
vs Fabricio Werdum · Sep 16L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Feb 17L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 17 Brendan Schaub
oldest →L
KOvs Minotauro Nogueira · Aug 11L
KOvs Ben Rothwell · Apr 12W
vs Lavar Johnson · Feb 13W
SUBvs Matt Mitrione · Sep 13L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jun 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Travis BrowneMetricBrendan Schaub
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.38Δ 2.08 — meaningful gap+0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Travis BrowneBrendan Schaub
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Travis Browne(10 fights)Brendan Schaub(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Travis BrowneTargetBrendan Schaub
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Travis Browne edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns1
Control1:41
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:49Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
