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Bantamweight

5 Rounds

Cory Sandhagen won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1484

Elo1483

Cory SandhagenvsDeiveson FigueiredoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, May 3, 2025Des Moines, Iowa, USA

Official fight result

Cory Sandhagen won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:08

Style matchupCory Sandhagen: Well-roundedvsDeiveson Figueiredo: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Cory Sandhagen wins(52.4%)

Actual result: Cory Sandhagen wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cory Sandhagen at -520 American odds

+$19 profit

$119 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cory Sandhagen enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Cory Sandhagen (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Cory Sandhagen

Red Corner

Deiveson Figueiredo

Blue Corner

-520

(84%)

Vegas Odds

+400

(20%)

1484

Elo

1483

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'5"

177.8 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cory SandhagenL3 streak

oldest →

vs Marlon Vera · Mar 23

vs Rob Font · Aug 23

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25

DECvs Mario Bautista · Jul 26

latest

Deiveson FigueiredoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Marlon Vera · Aug 24

vs Petr Yan · Nov 24

vs Montel Jackson · Oct 25

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 26

SUBvs Song Yadong · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cory SandhagenMetricDeiveson Figueiredo

4.86

Strikes / min

2.63

3.47

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

56%

Strike defense

49%

1.15

TDs / 15 min

1.61

56%

Takedown defense

57%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.39Δ 2.23 — meaningful gap-0.84

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cory SandhagenDeiveson Figueiredo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)Deiveson Figueiredo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.7|Blue -1.7

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red +112.0|Blue -112.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cory SandhagenTargetDeiveson Figueiredo

By target zone

51% acc · 61%

Head

67% acc · 67%

100% acc · 4%

Body

95% acc · 35%

Leg

67% acc · 33%

By position

56% acc · 44%

Distance

57% acc · 67%

Clinch

100% acc · 33%

68% acc · 56%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cory Sandhagen rounds

even

Deiveson Figueiredo rounds

Round 1Cory Sandhagen edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns1

Control3:37

2Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 2Cory Sandhagen edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns1

Control1:30

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:27Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

54 / 87

Sig Strikes

6 / 9

63%

Sig Str %

78.5%

92 / 149

Total Strikes

8 / 11

2 / 2

TDs

2 / 5

100%

TD %

62.5%

Sub Att

Rev

5:07

Ctrl Time

0:31

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Deiveson Figueiredo	2 / 2	3 / 3	1 / 4
1	Cory Sandhagen	31 / 39	53 / 78	1 / 1
2	Deiveson Figueiredo	4 / 7	5 / 8	1 / 1
2	Cory Sandhagen	23 / 48	39 / 71	1 / 1

Cory Sandhagen

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights17

Deiveson Figueiredo

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights20