Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Manel Kape enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Kyoji Horiguchi enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Manel Kape is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Kyoji Horiguchi has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Manel Kape has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Manel Kape has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Manel KapeW3 streak
oldest →W
vs Felipe dos Santos · Sep 23L
vs Muhammad Mokaev · Jul 24W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Dec 24W
KOvs Asu Almabayev · Mar 25W
KOvs Brandon Royval · Dec 25 Kyoji HoriguchiW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Ali Bagautinov · Nov 16W
SUBvs Tagir Ulanbekov · Nov 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Manel KapeMetricKyoji Horiguchi
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.96evenly matched on net striking+1.64
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Manel Kape(10 fights)Kyoji Horiguchi(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +43.3|Blue -43.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Manel KapeTargetKyoji Horiguchi
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kyoji Horiguchi edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:15Control
Round 2Kyoji Horiguchi edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:45Control
Round 3Manel Kape edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:10
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
