Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chan Sung Jung has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Ortega (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brian OrtegaL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Sep 21L
KOvs Yair Rodriguez · Jul 22W
SUBvs Yair Rodriguez · Feb 24L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Aug 25 Chan Sung JungL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Renato Moicano · Jun 19W
KOvs Frankie Edgar · Dec 19L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Apr 22L
KOvs Max Holloway · Aug 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brian OrtegaMetricChan Sung Jung
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.54Δ 1.95 — meaningful gap-0.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brian OrtegaChan Sung Jung
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brian Ortega(10 fights)Chan Sung Jung(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +15.0|Blue -15.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +378.0|Blue -378.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brian OrtegaTargetChan Sung Jung
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brian Ortega edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Brian Ortega edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns2
Control0:35
Knockdowns1
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Brian Ortega edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Brian Ortega edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control0:22
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Brian Ortega edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
