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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Tresean Gore won · Decision R3

Elo1491

Elo1522

Vicente LuquevsTresean GoreUFC Prediction Result

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · Saturday, August 15, 2026Philadelphia, USA

Official fight result

Tresean Gore won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Engine 7.0 was wrong

Pre-fight pick: Vicente Luque

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Vicente Luque at +116 American odds · hypothetical only

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Style matchupVicente Luque: Pressure fightervsTresean Gore: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Vicente Luque is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Tresean Gore has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Vicente Luque has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tresean Gore has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Vicente Luque

Red Corner

Tresean Gore

Blue Corner

+116

(46%)

Vegas Odds

-141

(59%)

1491

Elo

1522

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'11"

Height

6'0"

190.5 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Vicente Luque

oldest →

KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Mar 24

SUBvs Themba Gorimbo · Dec 24

SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 25

vs Joel Alvarez · Oct 25

SUBvs Kelvin Gastelum · Apr 26

latest

Tresean Gore

oldest →

SUBvs Josh Fremd · Oct 22

SUBvs Antonio Trocoli · Nov 24

KOvs Marco Tulio · Apr 25

vs Rodolfo Vieira · Aug 25

SUBvs Azamat Bekoev · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Vicente LuqueMetricTresean Gore

4.80

Strikes / min

3.41

5.24

Strikes absorbed / min

7.00

51%

Strike defense

40%

0.89

TDs / 15 min

1.91

59%

Takedown defense

83%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.44Δ 3.15 — meaningful gap-3.59

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Vicente Luque(10 fights)Tresean Gore(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -31.0|Blue +31.0

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Vicente LuqueTargetTresean Gore

By target zone

30% acc · 67%

Head

44% acc · 82%

100% acc · 15%

Body

67% acc · 3%

73% acc · 17%

Leg

77% acc · 15%

By position

36% acc · 93%

Distance

36% acc · 60%

75% acc · 7%

Clinch

80% acc · 6%

Ground

92% acc · 34%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Vicente Luque rounds

even

Tresean Gore rounds

Round 1Vicente Luque edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Tresean Gore edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:44

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:14Control

Round 3Tresean Gore edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:31Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 122

Sig Strikes

65 / 136

37.7%

Sig Str %

50.3%

50 / 127

Total Strikes

98 / 179

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 2

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:44

Ctrl Time

3:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Tresean Gore	22 / 60	24 / 62	0 / 0	0
1	Vicente Luque	26 / 56	26 / 56	0 / 0	0
2	Tresean Gore	24 / 34	51 / 69	0 / 1	1
2	Vicente Luque	6 / 15	10 / 20	0 / 1	1
3	Tresean Gore	19 / 42	23 / 48	0 / 1	0
3	Vicente Luque	14 / 51	14 / 51	0 / 0	0

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Tresean Gore

Odds

-141

Market-implied probability

Vicente Luque 44%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Vicente Luque (model pick · research)$216

Tresean Gore$171

44% market-implied · model 57% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC · never rewritten

Vicente Luque

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights25

Tresean Gore

StanceSwitch

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8