Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Darren Stewart enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Darren Stewart has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Darren Stewart has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Deron Winn
oldest →W
vs Eric Spicely · Jun 19L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Mar 20W
vs Antonio Arroyo · Dec 20L
KOvs Phil Hawes · Jun 22 Darren StewartL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Maki Pitolo · Aug 20L
vs Kevin Holland · Sep 20L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Aug 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Deron WinnMetricDarren Stewart
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.66Δ 1.42 — meaningful gap-0.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Deron WinnDarren Stewart
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Deron Winn(5 fights)Darren Stewart(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +87.8|Blue -87.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Deron WinnTargetDarren Stewart
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Deron Winn edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns3
Control4:15
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 2Darren Stewart edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns2
Control2:15
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Darren Stewart edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control1:34
22Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:29Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
