Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Grispi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- George Roop has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- George Roop has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh GrispiL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Dustin Poirier · Jan 11L
SUBvs Rani Yahya · Aug 12 George RoopL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Brian Bowles · May 13L
KOvs Francisco Rivera · Nov 13W
vs Dustin Kimura · Apr 14L
vs Takeya Mizugaki · Sep 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh GrispiMetricGeorge Roop
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.27Δ 3.23 — meaningful gap+0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Josh GrispiGeorge Roop
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Grispi(4 fights)George Roop(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.4|Blue +3.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.9|Blue +1.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Josh GrispiTargetGeorge Roop
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1George Roop edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns2
Control3:32
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:09Control
Round 2George Roop edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
34Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
4:53Control
Round 3George Roop edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns2
Control1:21
Knockdowns0
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
