Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Diego Nunes has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego Nunes
oldest →L
vs Kenny Florian · Jun 11W
vs Manvel Gamburyan · Dec 11L
vs Dennis Siver · Apr 12W
vs Bart Palaszewski · Oct 12 Nik LentzL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Gray Maynard · Oct 18W
vs Scott Holtzman · Feb 19L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 19L
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego NunesMetricNik Lentz
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.13evenly matched on net striking+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Diego NunesNik Lentz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Nunes(6 fights)Nik Lentz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +95.3|Blue -95.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -55.0|Blue +55.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Diego NunesTargetNik Lentz
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nik Lentz edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
5Takedowns
4:24Control
Round 2Nik Lentz edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:14Control
Round 3Nik Lentz edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
4Takedowns
3:32Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
