Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jared Cannonier (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jared CannonierL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jun 24L
vs Caio Borralho · Aug 24W
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 25L
vs Michael Page · Aug 25L
DECvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jul 26 Sean StricklandW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25W
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26W
DECvs Khamzat Chimaev · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jared CannonierMetricSean Strickland
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.07Δ 1.38 — meaningful gap+1.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jared CannonierSean Strickland
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jared Cannonier(10 fights)Sean Strickland(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jared CannonierTargetSean Strickland
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:43Control
Round 2Sean Strickland edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Sean Strickland edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:00
35Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Sean Strickland edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:00
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 5Sean Strickland edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control0:00
43Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
