Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Erick Silva enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Erick Silva threatens submissions; Luan Chagas has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Luan Chagas has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Luan Chagas has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Erick SilvaL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Josh Koscheck · Mar 15L
KOvs Nordine Taleb · Mar 16L
KOvs Yancy Medeiros · Jun 17 Luan Chagas
oldest →W
SUBvs Jimmy Wallhead · Jun 17L
KOvs Siyar Bahadurzada · Apr 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Erick SilvaMetricLuan Chagas
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.68Δ 2.65 — meaningful gap+0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Erick SilvaLuan Chagas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Erick Silva(10 fights)Luan Chagas(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -128.0|Blue +128.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.2|Blue +49.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Erick SilvaTargetLuan Chagas
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:22
Knockdowns1
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:33Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Luan Chagas edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control2:45
Knockdowns0
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:37Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Erick Silva edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:04
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:22Control
