Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mara Romero Borella enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mara Romero Borella has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mara Romero Borella has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cortney Casey
oldest →L
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Feb 19L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Jun 20L
vs Antonina Shevchenko · Jul 22 Mara Romero BorellaL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jan 18W
vs Taila Santos · Feb 19L
KOvs Lauren Murphy · Aug 19L
vs Montana De La Rosa · Feb 20L
SUBvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Sep 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cortney CaseyMetricMara Romero Borella
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.29evenly matched on net striking+0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cortney CaseyMara Romero Borella
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cortney Casey(10 fights)Mara Romero Borella(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +106.1|Blue -106.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.3|Blue -2.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +363.0|Blue -363.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cortney CaseyTargetMara Romero Borella
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Mara Romero Borella rounds
Round 1Mara Romero Borella edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:55Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
